New poll shows Trump surging with white Catholics


Back in August, a Washington Post-ABC poll showed Donald Trump trailing Hillary Clinton by 3 points among white Catholics. That caused considerable panic in Republican circles, because this was one of the few demographics that had been moving rightward over the last decade.

(To provide some perspective, even though he lost the overall Catholic vote to Obama 50%-48%, Romney won white Catholics by 19 points, 59-40%.)

But a new Washington Post-ABC poll shows a surge of white Catholic support for Donald Trump. Trump now leads Clinton 57-33% among white Catholics, a 24-point margin. 

Trump 57% with white Catholics would be on-par with Romney’s 59% in 2012. But Hillary’s 33% would be a significant drop from Obama’s 40% mark four years ago. This would mean 1 in 6 white Catholics who supported Obama are not backing Hillary Clinton. 

Back in August, the Washington Post suggested that “Donald Trump has a massive Catholic problem.”

But now it looks like Hillary Clinton is the one with a Catholic problem.

(A breakdown of the poll is below. More details from the poll here.)


The views expressed here are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent the views of


About Author

Joshua Mercer is a co-founder of, where he serves as Political Director. Mercer previously served as Washington Correspondent for the National Catholic Register and Chairman for Students for Life of America. He lives in Michigan with his wife and six children.


  1. You really demean yourself by suggesting white Catholics hold some special status. Hillary Clinton maintains a good lead among Catholics.

  2. There was a recent call for the release of medical records by each candidate. Clinton presented a coherent medical summary from her doctor. Trump played the old waiting game until he finally released a “medical summary”, of sorts that was declared by other doctors as outside of the standard format. Then after more time Trump was a guest on the Dr. Oz show. Oz asked him to produce his records. Trump played the audience by asking “should he”?

    Trump is fraud, a crook who displays symptoms of manic depression, bipolar disorder, with his lack of control and his constant flare ups.

    I have no love for Hillary, but she offers much better presentation and her political history is long.

    It never ceases to amaze me when the Catholic Church displays favoritism for a candidate who offers nothing more than threads for answers. I want to believe that the church’s disdain for Clinton is based exclusively on a single issue… abortion.

    • “I want to believe that the church’s disdain for Clinton is based exclusively on a single issue… abortion.”

      If you’re correct, that would make sense.

      The Church believes the support for the slaughter of the unborn is a deal-breaker.

    • Yeah, that abortion and euthanasia (LIFE) thing is rather big with faithful Catholics, but, we’re no fan of secular-progressive authoritarian regimes that have a tendency to oppress religious freedom, and its overall citizenry, either.

      Go figure.

      • Delphin,

        If Hillary becomes president, she promises to require churches to change their teachings on life and other “cultural codes,” in order for women to have unlimited access to abortion, and possibly other life issues, such as euthanasia, transgenderism, and gay “marriage.” Churches will comply or she will remove their tax exempt status.

        Scary. Even liberal pundit Kirsten Powers of USAToday says Hillary is not just running as president but as God.

        On the other hand, Trump has promised that should he win, he will repeal or remove the 1958 Johnson Amendment that bans churches from preaching on political moral issues (abortion, euthanasia, etc.) In other words, Trump promises to restore freedom of speech and freedom of worship to the churches without fear of losing their tax exemption.

        Trump has also compiled a list of conservative, pro-life, God-fearing possible nominees to the Supreme Court if he becomes president. Hillary is sure to appoint amoral liberal Justices, to complete a virtual Marxist politburo Supreme Court – would you like that?

        Okay, so both candidates are flawed. Trump has been married three times, and Hillary enriches herself and husband by selling access to the State Department by collecting large amount of money from foreign countries who don’t even like us.

        She and her husband have enriched themselves by collecting upwards of $200,000 per speech fees from Wall Street bankers, universities, foreign countries, and other societies – all in the name of “service” to our people.

        So, okay – neither candidate is fit for beatification. Please pray and look past their persons and instead, focus on their agenda. God bless you.

  3. Hispanic Catholics are first and foremost Hispanic. Culturally they have little or no real knowledge of free enterprise democracy. Their entire background is one of socialism. They look for the government to provide everything, and do not distinguish between opportunity and outcome. Hence their heavy preference for Hillary because she is far-left socialistic. Communism, and subsequently, socialism is what ruined their own country(s) and they bring that very thing to the U.S. As Catholics they are totally solidarity and zero subsidiarity.

  4. Trump is so far ahead of Hillary that the MSM is having to give Trump some measure of lead in the polls to remain even slightly relevant.

    They have been stealing about 20-30% of Trump’s support in favor of Hillary (which is also the max they can steal in a real election unless they don’t care if they are caught) – so the real number you are quoting is probably 75%+ support.

    Trump has transcended the old lines and created a movement that has the support of all types of real Americans as Americans, instead of as suckers to be milked and promised the world at election time to get their vote.

  5. Romney got 59% white Catholics, the highest of the last four since 2000. This looks good for Trump. Hispanic Catholics voted 72 and 75% for the pro-abortion, pro-homosexual marriage Obama and they’ll do the same for Hillary.

  6. Christine Oskirko on

    Hilary SHOULD have a Catholic problem! She is, if it could even be possible, more pro abortion than Obama. She is just fine with babies being aborted in the end of the ninth month of pregnancy.
    Sadly many uninformed Catholics will vote for her for the wrong reasons.It is each Catholics duty to seek the truth about the candidates. If a Catholic still wants to vote for her after knowing about her assault on the unborn and her support for Planned Parenthood, then they have to live with the choice and prepare to tremble before the face of God

  7. The debates are irrelevant. By the definition of Archbishop Fulton Sheen both Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine are evil. Mr. Trump would have a long way to go to catch up to these two.
    Archbishop Fulton Sheen made the perfect distinction between someone who is bad, and someone who is evil. A bad person does bad things — steals, lies, cheats. An evil person seeks to destroy goodness, virtue, honor, decency, morality and truth.
    Like goodness, there is a hierarchy to evil as well. Not all evil is equally malicious, just as all good is not equally sublime.
    A Catholic who votes for democratic candidates objectively commits mortal sin.

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