Office of Governor Tim Walz & Lt. Governor Peggy Flanagan / Flickr (Left), rump White House Archived / Flickr (Right)
CV NEWS FEED // As the presidential election approaches, recent polling data from key battleground states indicates a highly competitive race between the candidates.
According to an analysis from RealClearPolitics, polling averages show the race is effectively tied, with both major candidates receiving significant support in critical states. In states such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, polls reveal a narrow margin, reflecting the close political divide in these areas.
According to RealClearPolitics, polling averages indicate that in Pennsylvania, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are tied with Trump at a 0.1-point lead, though the latest polls indicate Trump has a 3-point lead on Harris. Wisconsin is also extremely close, with 48% for Trump and 49% for Harris. In Michigan, the candidates are nearly tied at 47% for Trump and 48% for Harris.
Detailing the poll stats, RealClearPolitics reported:
One of the latest polls from Remington Research (R), conducted Sept. 16-20 for American Fuel & Petroleum Manufacturers, found that in the largest swing state, Pennsylvania, Trump led by 1 point, 48%-47%. The latest Trafalgar Group (R) and Atlas Intel polls also found Trump up 3 points in Pennsylvania, but five of the last 11 polls found the race tied. The current RCP Average in Pennsylvania has Trump up just 0.1 points, an effective tie.
In the other two Rust Belt swing states, recent polls indicate Harris holds a lead. In the Remington poll, Trump and Harris were tied in Wisconsin, while Harris led by 2 points in Michigan. The latest New York Times/Siena poll found Harris up 1 point in Michigan and 2 points in Wisconsin. In the RCP Averages, Harris leads by 1.4 points in Michigan and 0.8 in Wisconsin.
In addition to the traditional battlegrounds, other states like Arizona and Georgia are also emerging as pivotal points in the election. In both Arizona and Georgia, Trump carries a slight 1.5-point lead at 49% compared to 47% for Harris. Analysts stress that the outcomes in these swing states will be pivotal in determining the election, which appears will likely be a tight contest.
